The Utah Jazz welcome the Golden State Warriors to Salt Lake City for a high-profile matchup on Saturday. The Jazz and Warriors are battling for Western Conference supremacy, with Golden State bringing a 27-7 record into the night. Utah is also near the top of the West and is entering on the second night of a back-to-back. Draymond Green, Damion Lee and James Wiseman are out in the health and safety protocols for Golden State. Klay Thompson remains out with an Achilles injury. Jordan Poole is expected to return to the lineup for Golden State after missing the last six games due to protocols.
Caesars Sportsbook lists Utah as the 4.5-point home favorite for this 9 p.m. ET tipoff. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over-under, is 223.5 in the latest Warriors vs. Jazz odds. Before locking in any Jazz vs. Warriors picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 11 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 48-24 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning almost $2,000. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Warriors vs. Jazz and just revealed its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Jazz vs. Warriors:
- Jazz vs. Warriors spread: Jazz -4.5
- Jazz vs. Warriors over-under: 223.5 points
- Jazz vs. Warriors money line: Jazz -200, Warriors +170
- GSW: The Warriors are 8-6-1 against the spread in road games
- UTA: The Jazz are 3-2 against the spread with no days rest
Featured Game | Utah Jazz vs. Golden State Warriors
Why the Warriors can cover
The Warriors are out-scoring opponents by more than 10 points per 100 possessions this season, and Golden State leads the league in defensive rating. Beyond that defensive dominance, however, the Warriors are outstanding on offense. Golden State is scoring 111.7 points per 100 possessions, ranking in the top five of the NBA in offensive efficiency. The Warriors are also No. 2 in the NBA in both 2-point accuracy (56.5 percent) and 3-pointers (14.8 per game), with the best passing numbers in the league. Golden State is averaging 27.8 assists per game and assisting on 69.0 percent of field goals.
The Warriors also put pressure on the offensive glass, securing 27.9 percent of available rebounds, and Golden State can also push the ball in transition, averaging 15.1 fast-break points per game. Utah ranks in the bottom three of the NBA in turnover creation, and Golden State can play freely and aggressively as a result of the passiveness of the Jazz.
Why the Jazz can cover
Utah’s offense is dominant. The Jazz are comfortably leading the league in offensive rating, scoring more than three points per 100 possessions more than any other team in the NBA this season. Utah also leads the NBA in true shooting percentage, signaling the team’s elite shooting profile, and the Jazz rank in the top five in offensive rebound rate at nearly 30 percent.
Utah is in the top five of the NBA in free-throw creation rate and free throw prevention rate, and Golden State is No. 27 in free-throw accuracy on offense and No. 25 in free throw attempts allowed on defense. The Jazz are also stellar on defense, ranking in the top eight of the NBA, and Utah is a top-10 team in defensive rebound rate. The Warriors commit the second-most turnovers in the NBA this season, and that could fuel Utah in transition.
How to make Jazz vs. Warriors picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 222 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in over 60 percent of simulations. You can only get the model’s pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Warriors vs. Jazz? And which side of the spread hits in over 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.